Share-Based Payment > Best Practice Series |
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ESO Valuation
Disclosure - Dow 30 for FY2012 |
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www.fintools.com |
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Expected |
Contractual |
Expected |
Vesting |
ESO Fair |
Exercise |
Forfeiture |
Valuation |
Granted |
Interest |
Dividend |
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Symbol |
Company Name |
HQ |
Auditor |
Volatility |
Term (y) |
Term (y) |
Period (y) |
Value ($) |
Multiple |
Rate |
Model |
(millions) |
Rate |
Yield |
Comments |
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AA |
Alcoa
Inc. |
PA |
PwC |
45.00% |
10 |
5.8 |
3 |
3.11 |
1.45 |
5.00% |
Lattice-Pricing |
10.500 |
1.89% |
0.90% |
Exp Vola range 39-45%; Exer Multiple based on
hist avg; Int Rate range 0.06%-1.89% |
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AXP |
American
Express Company |
NY |
PwC |
40.00% |
10 |
6.3 |
4 |
17.48 |
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B-S-M |
1.205 |
1.30% |
1.50% |
Exp Volatility based on Blended Historical and Implied
Volatilties |
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BA |
The
Boeing Company |
IL |
Deloitte |
29.90% |
10 |
6.0 |
3 |
16.89 |
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Black-Scholes |
6.257 |
1.10% |
2.40% |
Exp Volatility based on Blended Historical and Implied
Volatilties |
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BAC |
Bank of
America Corporation |
NC |
PwC |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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- |
- |
- |
- |
No ESOs granted since 2008 |
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CAT |
Caterpillar
Inc. |
IL |
PwC |
35.00% |
10 |
7.0 |
3 |
39.20 |
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Lattice-Based |
3.318 |
2.00% |
2.20% |
Exp Vola range 33.3%-40.4%; Int Rate range 0.17-2%; Exp
Term b/o hist data |
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CSCO |
Cisco
Systems, Inc. |
CA |
PwC |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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- |
- |
- |
- |
No ESOs granted in 2012; Used both Lattice and
Black-Scholes models previously |
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|
CVX |
Chevron
Corporation |
CA |
PwC |
31.70% |
10 |
6.0 |
3 |
23.35 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
12.455 |
1.10% |
3.20% |
Exp Vola based on hist vola; Exp Term based on hist exer
and post-vest cancellation |
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|
DD |
E.I. du
Pont de Nemours and Co |
DE |
PwC |
34.87% |
7 |
5.3 |
3 |
11.81 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
4.728 |
0.90% |
3.20% |
Exp Volatility based on Blended Historical and Implied
Volatilties |
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|
DIS |
The Walt
Disney Company |
CA |
PwC |
31.00% |
10 |
- |
4 |
10.65 |
1.41 |
2.70% |
Binomial |
11.000 |
2.00% |
1.56% |
Exp Volatility based on Blended Historical and Implied
Volatilties |
|
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|
GE |
General
Electric Company |
CT |
KPMG |
29.00% |
10 |
7.8 |
5 |
3.80 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
83.179 |
1.30% |
4.00% |
Exp Volatility based on Blended Historical and Implied
Volatilties |
|
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|
|
HD |
The Home
Depot, Inc. |
GA |
KPMG |
27.00% |
10 |
5.0 |
4 |
9.86 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
3.723 |
1.20% |
2.30% |
Grants both Incentive and Non-Qualified Stock Options |
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|
|
HPQ |
Hewlett-Packard
Company |
CA |
E&Y |
42.00% |
8 |
5.6 |
4 |
9.06 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
7.529 |
1.17% |
1.83% |
Expected Vola based on implied; Exp Term based on hist data
and post-vest behavior |
|
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|
|
IBM |
International
Business Machines |
NY |
PwC |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
ESOs not granted for the past 3 yrs, outstanding
ESOs valuated with BS,4-year vesting |
|
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|
|
|
INTC |
Intel
Corporation |
CA |
E&Y |
25.00% |
7 |
5.3 |
4 |
4.22 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
13.500 |
1.00% |
3.30% |
Exp Vola based on implied vola; Exp Term based on hist
option exercise data |
|
|
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|
|
|
JNJ |
Johnson
& Johnson |
NJ |
PwC |
18.38% |
10 |
6.0 |
4 |
6.39 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
8.661 |
1.06% |
3.60% |
Exp Vola 4-yr daily hist vola, 5-week avg implied vola of
2-yr opts; Exp Term hist exp |
|
|
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|
|
|
JPM |
JP
Morgan Chase & Co. |
NY |
PwC |
35.00% |
10 |
6.6 |
5 |
8.89 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
14.738 |
1.19% |
3.15% |
Expected Volatility based on Implied Volatility;
Dividend(forward-looking) |
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KO |
The
Coca-Cola Company |
GA |
E&Y |
18.00% |
10 |
5.0 |
4 |
3.80 |
|
|
B-S-M |
53.000 |
1.00% |
2.70% |
Exp Vola based on hist and implied vola; Exp Term based on
hist exer behavior |
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MCD |
McDonald's
Corporation |
IL |
E&Y |
20.80% |
10 |
6.1 |
4 |
13.65 |
|
|
Closed-Form |
4.900 |
1.10% |
2.80% |
Expected Volatility based on hist vola; Expected Term based
on historical trends |
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MMM |
3M
Company |
MN |
PwC |
24.50% |
10 |
6.2 |
3 |
14.94 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
5.770 |
1.10% |
2.60% |
His Vola (1 year vola, median exp life rolling vola, median
exp life voal), Imp Vola |
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|
MRK |
Merck
& Co., Inc. |
NJ |
PwC |
25.20% |
10 |
7.0 |
3 |
5.47 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
7.641 |
1.30% |
4.40% |
ESOs have Graded Vesting over 3 years; Contractual Term
Range 7-10 yrs |
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MSFT |
Microsoft
Corporation |
WA |
Deloitte |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
6.000 |
- |
- |
Grants options primarily in conjunction with business
acquisitions |
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|
PFE |
Pfizer
Inc. |
NY |
KPMG |
23.80% |
10 |
6.5 |
3 |
2.79 |
|
|
B-S-M |
57.919 |
1.28% |
4.10% |
Exp Volatility based on Blended Historical and Implied
Volatilties |
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PG |
The
Procter & Gamble Company |
OH |
Deloitte |
15.00% |
10 |
8.5 |
3 |
8.05 |
|
|
Binomial Lattice |
30.225 |
1.90% |
2.60% |
Exp Vola range 12-18%; Int Rate range 0.2-2.1%; Exercise
behavior based on hist |
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|
T |
AT&T
Inc. |
TX |
E&Y |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
No ESOs granted in 2012; |
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|
TRV |
The
Travelers Companies, Inc. |
NY |
KPMG |
28.60% |
10 |
6.0 |
3 |
12.08 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
2.442 |
1.17% |
1.84% |
Exp Vola range 28.5-28.6%; Int Rate range 1.02-1.17%; Exp
Div range $1.64-$1.84 |
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|
|
UNH |
UnitedHealth
Group, Inc |
MN |
Deloitte |
44.00% |
- |
5.6 |
- |
18.00 |
|
5.00% |
Not Disclosed |
2.000 |
0.90% |
1.70% |
Exp based on Historical and Implied vola, Disclosures
consistent with Lattice Model |
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|
UTX |
United
Technologies Corporation |
CT |
PwC |
30.00% |
10 |
7.7 |
3 |
19.32 |
|
|
Binomial Lattice |
0.428 |
2.00% |
2.30% |
Exp Vola range 30-35%; Exp Term range 7.4-7.5 years; Int
Rate range 0.0-2% |
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VZ |
Verizon
Communications Inc. |
NY |
E&Y |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
No ESOs granted since 2004 |
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|
WMT |
Wal-Mart
Stores, Inc. |
AR |
E&Y |
16.20% |
10 |
3.0 |
5 |
10.57 |
|
|
B-S-M |
2.082 |
0.60% |
2.80% |
Exp Vola based on hist vola; Exp Term based on hist
exercise and expiration activity |
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|
XOM |
Exxon
Mobil Corporation |
TX |
PwC |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
No ESOs granted since 2003 |
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|
|
Average Calculations |
|
|
29.13% |
9.636 |
6.102 |
3.636 |
|
|
|
|
14.7167 |
1.29% |
2.65% |
|
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|
Minimum |
|
|
15.00% |
7.000 |
3.000 |
3.000 |
|
|
|
|
0.4280 |
0.60% |
0.90% |
|
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|
Maximum |
|
|
45.00% |
10.000 |
8.500 |
5.000 |
|
|
|
|
83.1790 |
2.00% |
4.40% |
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Key |
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B-S-M: Black-Scholes-Merton |
Closed-Form: Model or formula similar to B-S-M |
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Hist Vola: Historical Volatility |
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SOEF: Sub Optimal Exercise Factor |
Exp Vola: Expected Volatilty |
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Exp Term: Expected Term |
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Source: Company
10-K Reports and DEF 14As for FY2012 |
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Prepared by: Hu
Li and Scott Michaud, CEP |
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Date: August 9,
2013 |
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© Montgomery
Investment Technology, Inc. |
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