Share-Based Payment > Best Practice Series |
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ESO Valuation
Disclosure - Dow 30 for FY2013 |
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www.fintools.com |
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Expected |
Contractual |
Expected |
Vesting |
ESO Fair |
Exercise |
Forfeiture |
Valuation |
Granted |
Interest |
Dividend |
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Symbol |
Company Name |
HQ |
Auditor |
Volatility |
Term (y) |
Term (y) |
Period (y) |
Value ($) |
Multiple |
Rate |
Model |
(millions) |
Rate |
Yield |
Comments |
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MMM |
3M Co |
MN |
PwC |
20.00% |
10 |
6.3 |
3 |
13.46 |
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Black-Scholes |
6.220 |
1.20% |
2.70% |
Exp Vola - avg of recent 1 year vola; Exp Term based on
weighted avg of hist grants |
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AXP |
American
Express Co |
NY |
PwC |
39.00% |
10 |
6.3 |
4 |
21.11 |
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B-S-M |
0.463 |
1.30% |
1.40% |
Exp Vola based on hist and Implied vola; Exp Term based on
hist data and expectations |
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T |
AT&T
Inc |
TX |
E&Y |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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- |
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- |
- |
No ESOs granted in 2013 |
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BA |
Boeing
Co/The |
IL |
Deloitte |
29.00% |
10 |
6.0 |
3 |
15.85 |
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Black-Scholes |
6.699 |
1.00% |
2.60% |
Exp Vola based on hist and implied vola |
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CAT |
Caterpillar
Inc |
IL |
PwC |
30.60% |
10 |
8.0 |
3 |
28.34 |
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Lattice-Based |
4.276 |
1.88% |
2.10% |
Exp Vola based on hist and current implied vola from trade
options on our stock |
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CVX |
Chevron
Corp |
CA |
PwC |
31.30% |
10 |
6.0 |
3 |
24.48 |
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Black-Scholes |
13.190 |
1.20% |
3.30% |
Exp Vola based on hist vola; Exp Term based on hist exer
and post-vest cancellation |
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CSCO |
Cisco
Systems Inc |
CA |
PwC |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
No ESOs granted in 2013 but Employee Stock Purchease Plan
awards were granted |
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KO |
Coca-Cola
Co/The |
GA |
E&Y |
17.00% |
10 |
5.0 |
4 |
3.73 |
|
|
B-S-M |
56.000 |
0.90% |
2.80% |
Exp Vola based on hist and implied vola; Exp Term based on
hist exer behavior |
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DD |
EI du
Pont de Nemours & Co |
DE |
PwC |
34.86% |
7 |
5.3 |
3 |
10.40 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
5.758 |
1.00% |
3.60% |
Exp Vola based on blended historical and implied vola |
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|
XOM |
Exxon
Mobil Corp |
TX |
PwC |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
No ESOs granted since 2003 |
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|
|
GE |
General
Electric Co |
CT |
KPMG |
28.00% |
10 |
7.5 |
5 |
4.52 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
62.762 |
2.50% |
4.00% |
Exp Vola based on hist and implied vola; Exp Term based on
hist exer behavior |
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GS |
Goldman
Sachs Group Inc/The |
NY |
PwC |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
No ESOs granted since 2010 |
|
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|
|
HD |
Home
Depot Inc/The |
GA |
KPMG |
26.30% |
10 |
5.0 |
4 |
13.10 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
1.704 |
0.80% |
2.20% |
Grants both Incentive and Non-Qualified Stock Options |
|
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|
|
INTC |
Intel
Corp |
CA |
E&Y |
25.00% |
7 |
5.2 |
4 |
3.11 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
20.100 |
0.80% |
3.90% |
Exp Vola based on implied vola; Exp Term based on hist
option exercise data |
|
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|
IBM |
International
Business Machines |
NY |
PwC |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
- |
- |
- |
ESOs not granted for the past 3 yrs, o/s ESOs valuated
with BS, 4-year vesting |
|
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|
|
JNJ |
Johnson
& Johnson |
NJ |
PwC |
14.04% |
10 |
6.0 |
4 |
4.88 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
29.010 |
1.01% |
3.40% |
Exp Vola 4-yr daily hist vola, 5-week avg implied vola of
2-yr opts; Exp Term hist exp |
|
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|
JPM |
JPMorgan
Chase & Co |
NY |
PwC |
28.00% |
10 |
6.6 |
5 |
9.58 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
46.171 |
1.18% |
2.66% |
Exp Vola based on implied vola; Dividend (forward-looking) |
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|
MCD |
McDonald's
Corp |
IL |
E&Y |
20.60% |
10 |
6.1 |
4 |
11.09 |
|
|
Closed-Form |
3.700 |
1.20% |
3.50% |
Exp Vola based on hist vola; Expected Term based on
historical trends |
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|
MRK |
Merck
& Co Inc |
NJ |
PwC |
25.00% |
10 |
7.0 |
3 |
6.21 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
5.703 |
1.20% |
4.20% |
Exp Vola based on hist and implied vola; Exp Term based on
hist and fore exer behavior |
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|
MSFT |
Microsoft
Corp |
WA |
Deloitte |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
- |
2.000 |
- |
- |
Grants Options primarily in conjuction with business
acquisitions, stock awards granted |
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|
NKE |
NIKE Inc |
OR |
PwC |
35.00% |
10 |
5.3 |
4 |
12.71 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
14.600 |
0.60% |
1.50% |
Exp Vola based on implied vola;Exp Term based on hist and
expected future patterns |
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|
|
PFE |
Pfizer
Inc |
NY |
KPMG |
19.68% |
10 |
6.5 |
3 |
3.13 |
|
|
B-S-M |
45.013 |
1.16% |
3.45% |
Exp Vola based on Blended hist and implied vola |
|
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|
|
PG |
Procter
& Gamble Co/The |
OH |
Deloitte |
15.00% |
10 |
8.9 |
3 |
8.19 |
|
|
Binomial Lattice |
24.820 |
1.80% |
2.90% |
Exp Vola based on Blended hist and implied vola |
|
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|
|
TRV |
Travelers
Cos Inc/The |
NY |
KPMG |
28.80% |
10 |
6.0 |
3 |
17.09 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
1.863 |
1.14% |
2.26% |
Exp Vola range 28.7-28.8%; Int Rate range 1.11-1.14%; |
|
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|
|
UTX |
United
Technologies Corp |
CT |
PwC |
27.00% |
10 |
7.6 |
3 |
19.91 |
|
|
Binomial Lattice |
0.309 |
1.90% |
2.60% |
Exp Vola based hist and implied vola-26-27%; Exp
Term-7.3-7.6 years; Int Rate-0.1-1.9% |
|
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|
|
UNH |
UnitedHealth
Group Inc |
MN |
Deloitte |
43.00% |
- |
5.3 |
- |
19.00 |
|
5.00% |
Binomial |
8.000 |
1.60% |
1.60% |
Exp based on hist and Implied vola |
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VZ |
Verizon
Communications Inc |
NY |
E&Y |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
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- |
- |
- |
- |
No ESOs granted since 2004 |
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V |
Visa Inc |
CA |
KPMG |
29.30% |
10 |
6.1 |
3 |
39.03 |
|
|
Black-Scholes |
0.579 |
0.80% |
0.90% |
Exp Term based on peer companies, Exp Vola based on hist
and implied vola |
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|
WMT |
Wal-Mart
Stores Inc |
AR |
E&Y |
15.20% |
10 |
3.3 |
5 |
15.27 |
|
|
B-S-M |
3.688 |
0.40% |
2.50% |
Exp Vola based on hist vola; Exp Term based on hist
exercise and expiration activity |
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DIS |
Walt
Disney Co/The |
CA |
PwC |
26.00% |
10 |
- |
4 |
12.38 |
1.41 |
2.70% |
Binomial |
8.000 |
1.80% |
1.60% |
Exp Vola based on Blended hist and implied vola |
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|
|
Average Calculations |
|
|
26.42% |
9.727 |
6.147 |
3.636 |
|
|
|
|
15.4428 |
1.23% |
2.68% |
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|
Minimum |
|
|
14.04% |
7.000 |
3.300 |
3.000 |
|
|
|
|
0.3090 |
0.40% |
0.90% |
|
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Maximum |
|
|
43.00% |
10.000 |
8.900 |
5.000 |
|
|
|
|
62.7620 |
2.50% |
4.20% |
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Key |
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B-S-M: Black-Scholes-Merton |
Closed-Form: Model or formula similar to B-S-M |
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Hist Vola: Historical Volatility |
ESOs: Employee Stock Options |
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SOEF: Sub Optimal Exercise Factor |
Exp Vola: Expected Volatilty |
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Exp Term: Expected Term |
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Source: Company
10-K Reports and DEF 14As for FY2013 |
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Prepared by:
Jinyi Wang, Yingwen Chen and Chunhui Hao |
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Date: October
31, 2014 |
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© Montgomery
Investment Technology, Inc. |
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